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    Kimball Electronics (KE)

    KE Q4 2024: Braking Setback Signals FY25 Revenue Gap; Buybacks Ongoing

    Reported on Aug 14, 2025 (After Market Close)
    Pre-Earnings Price$18.28Last close (Aug 14, 2024)
    Post-Earnings Price$18.10Open (Aug 15, 2024)
    Price Change
    $-0.18(-0.98%)
    • Strong Customer Relationships & New Product Initiatives: Management highlighted active engagement in emerging technologies, including advancing steer-by-wire initiatives with major customers and launching a new braking program in early 2025, which indicates potential for renewed revenue growth.
    • Disciplined Capital Allocation & Shareholder Focus: The company remains committed to a robust share repurchase program and maintaining a strong balance sheet, underlining its focus on returning value to shareholders despite near-term revenue pressures.
    • Strategic Diversification & M&A Flexibility: KE is actively pursuing strategic M&A opportunities that complement its organic growth in automotive and medical segments, positioning the company to expand its portfolio and capture long-term market opportunities.
    • Revenue Headwinds: The automotive vertical faces pressure from the braking program setback—comparable in scale to the FDA recall in medical—potentially leading to a significant revenue gap in fiscal 2025.
    • Soft Demand Environment: Multiple responses indicate that current customer demand is in a "wait and see" mode, with normalization not expected until the second half of 2025, which could prolong revenue challenges.
    • Sector-Specific Challenges: The industrial segment is struggling with commoditization pressures, especially in smart meters in Europe, which may suppress margins and growth prospects.
    1. Vertical Mix
      Q: What are FY25 vertical percentages?
      A: Management noted that although auto and industrial segments face softness, the medical segment—despite declines—will be relatively modest, with the overall mix continuing to evolve.

    2. Braking Impact
      Q: How significant is the braking revenue loss?
      A: They did not quantify the lost revenue but described it as similar in scale to the impact experienced from the FDA recall.

    3. Industrial Shift
      Q: What drives industrial revenue amid smart meter issues?
      A: Management highlighted that the return of climate control, acceleration in factory automation, and emerging off-highway opportunities will help offset commoditization challenges.

    4. Capital Structure
      Q: How will the new Treasurer refine capital structure?
      A: They emphasized improved working capital management and debt discipline to maintain a strong balance sheet and preserve dry powder for strategic opportunities.

    5. Share Repurchase
      Q: Any change in share repurchase plans?
      A: The repurchase program remains intact, designed to match LTIP needs and support EPS growth, despite the challenging revenue environment.

    6. M&A Potential
      Q: What size M&A deals can be absorbed?
      A: Management indicated that deal size is less important than a strong strategic fit, with banks ready to support any attractive opportunity.

    7. CapEx Allocation
      Q: Where will FY25 growth CapEx be focused?
      A: Capital expenditures will be split roughly evenly between growth and maintenance, concentrating mainly on strengthening the automotive and medical areas.

    8. Inventory Reduction
      Q: How is internal inventory being digested?
      A: They have reduced inventory by approximately $112 million this quarter and expect similar digestion trends across the verticals going forward.

    9. Demand Trends
      Q: Are weak orders cancellations or delays?
      A: Management attributed the softness to delays rather than outright cancellations, expecting normalization after the election cycle by H2 ’25.

    10. Volume Backfill
      Q: How will lost volumes be backfilled?
      A: Lost volumes should be replenished through new program launches and reallocation within strong customer relationships.

    11. Tier 1 Change
      Q: Why did a Tier 1 customer stop production?
      A: The stoppage was due to a commercial agreement shift by the OEM, not because of quality or pricing issues.

    12. Steer-by-Wire
      Q: How are steer-by-wire plans affecting business?
      A: Management is actively engaged with key customers on steer-by-wire initiatives and supporting production relocations to ensure sufficient capacity.

    13. Customer Inventories
      Q: How lean are customer inventories currently?
      A: They reported that while automotive customers still have some excess inventory, industrial and medical customers are operating much leaner.

    14. Climate Control
      Q: Is European climate control at risk of commoditization?
      A: Not significantly—European exposure is limited, with most climate control business occurring in North America where products are less susceptible to commoditization.

    15. Guidance Updates
      Q: What’s the cadence of future guidance?
      A: The company will maintain annual guidance while providing quarterly updates to help the market with modeling.

    16. EV Tariffs
      Q: How are EV tariffs impacting China business?
      A: They acknowledged EV tariff challenges but clarified that their China operations are viewed separately from export markets, with global EV trends still uncertain.

    Research analysts covering Kimball Electronics.